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Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing

Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing your good and bad trades. Then you will have a much better sense of what will work best in your future trades.

Trading is always full of emotions

Because trading is always full of emotions, you must have a trading strategy which includes a set of rules you stick to. This will help protect you from yourself.

software which aims at predicting future trends

While there are a lot of companies who make money by selling software which aims at predicting future trends, the reality is that if this software really worked, these companies would not be giving the secret away.

Trade wisely

There are many beginners who make trades in any direction. While there is a possibility to make profits both on the upside and downside of a trade, trading in the direction of the trend will give you the best chances for success

Invest in a good Forex trading education

The market is always changing and it may be hard to understand and keep up with these changes unless you invest in a good Forex trading education

Sunday 31 March 2013

Forex - GBP/USD weekly outlook: April 1 - 5

The pound was little changed against the dollar on Friday as trade remained light with many markets closed for Good Friday.

GBP/USD hit a session high of 1.5219 on Friday, before settling at 1.5190, dipping 0.02% for the day and ending the week just 0.09% higher.

Cable is likely to find support at 1.5094, the low of March 27 and resistance at 1.5258, the high of March 25.

Demand for the dollar was underpinned following the release of better-than-expected U.S. data on consumer sentiment and personal sending.

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index came in at 78.6, up sharply from the preliminary reading of 71.8, and above expectations for a reading of 72.5.

A separate report showed that personal-consumption expenditures in the U.S. rose 0.7% in February, the largest rise since September.

The data came one day after revised data showed that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 0.4% in the three months to December, lower than forecasts for a 0.5% expansion.

The growth rate was the slowest since the first quarter of 2011, but was higher than initial estimates for growth of 0.1%.

Safe haven demand for the greenback was also supported by ongoing concerns over the situation in Cyprus and political uncertainty in Italy.

Sterling had gained ground against the dollar on Thursday after data showing that the U.K. services sector grew at the strongest pace in five months in January eased concerns over the risk of a recession.

The Office for National Statistics said U.K. service output rose 0.3% in January, the biggest rise since August, bringing the annualized rate of output to 0.8%.

The report eased concerns over prospects for a triple-dip recession after previous economic data showed that U.K. manufacturing output fell at the fastest rate in six months in January.

In the week ahead investors will be awaiting the outcome of Thursday's Bank of England policy meeting, although the bank is widely expected to leave monetary policy unchanged. The U.S. is scheduled to release the closely watched government report on nonfarm payrolls on Friday.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, April 1

Markets in the U.K. are to remain closed for Easter Monday.

In the U.S., the Institute of Supply Management is to release a report on manufacturing activity, a leading economic indicator.

Tuesday, April 2

The U.K. is to release a report on manufacturing activity and government data on net lending to individuals.

The U.S. is to publish official data on factory orders, a leading indicator of production.

Wednesday, April 3

The U.K.is to produce a report on construction sector activity, a leading economic indicator.

The U.S. is to release data on ADP nonfarm payrolls, which tracks private sector job creation and leads government data by two days. The U.S. is also to produce official data on crude oil stockpiles, while the ISM is to release a report on service sector activity, a leading indicator of economic health. 

Thursday, April 4

The U.K. is to publish a report on service sector activity, while the BoE is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish its rate statement.

The U.S. is to release the weekly government report on initial jobless claims. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is to speak; his comments will be closely watched for any indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.

Friday, April 5

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched government report on nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate, as well as data on average hourly earnings and the trade balance.
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Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: April 1 - 5

The euro was hovering above four-month lows against the dollar in subdued trade on Friday as lingering concerns over a bailout deal for Cyprus and political uncertainty in Italy saw investors shun the single currency.

EUR/USD hit a session low of 1.2794 on Friday, before settling at 1.2821, edging up 0.03% to end the week 0.28% lower.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.2752, Wednesday's low and a four-month trough and resistance at 1.2890, the high of March 26.

Banks in Cyprus reopened for the first time in almost two weeks on Thursday with strict capital controls in place, having been closed since March 16 amid fears of a bank run while bailout talks were under way.

On Friday Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades said that Cyprus has no intention of leaving the euro zone, saying "in no way will we experiment with the future of our country".

But investors remained wary that the bailout deal for Cyprus could set a precedent for future bailouts in larger euro zone states, with big bank depositors and senior bond holders forced to suffer losses.

Meanwhile, Italy saw borrowing costs edge higher amid growing doubts over whether a stable coalition government can be formed amid political deadlock.

The euro was little changed against the pound and the yen on Friday, with EUR/GBP inching up 0.04% to settle at 0.8440 and EUR/JPY easing up 0.10% to settle at 120.79.

The dollar remained supported following the release of better-than-expected U.S. data on consumer sentiment and personal sending.

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index came in at 78.6, up sharply from the preliminary reading of 71.8, and above expectations for a reading of 72.5.

A separate report showed that personal-consumption expenditures in the U.S. rose 0.7% in February, the largest rise since September.

The data came one day after revised data showed that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 0.4% in the three months to December, lower than forecasts for a 0.5% expansion.

The growth rate was the slowest since the first quarter of 2011, but was higher than initial estimates for growth of 0.1%.

In the week ahead investors will be focusing the outcome of Thursday's European Central Bank policy meeting. The bank is not widely expected make any changes to monetary policy despite uncertainty in the euro zone since its last meeting.

The U.S. is scheduled to release the closely watched government report on nonfarm payrolls on Friday.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, April 1

Markets in Germany, Italy and France are to remain closed for Easter Monday.

In the U.S., the Institute of Supply Management is to release a report on manufacturing activity, a leading economic indicator.

Tuesday, April 2

Germany is to release preliminary data on consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

Spain is to produce government data on the change in the number of people unemployed, a leading indicator of economic health. Spain and Italy are to publish reports on manufacturing activity.

The euro zone is to publish official data on the unemployment rate across the currency bloc.

The U.S. is to publish official data on factory orders, a leading indicator of production.

Wednesday, April 3

The euro zone is to release preliminary data on consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

The U.S. is to release data on ADP nonfarm payrolls, which outlines private sector job creation and leads government data by two days. The U.S. is also to produce official data on crude oil stockpiles, while the ISM is to release a report on service sector activity, a leading indicator of economic health. 

Thursday, April 4

Spain and Italy are to release data on service sector activity, while the euro zone is to produce revised data on service sector activity across the currency bloc. Meanwhile, Spain and France are to hold auctions of government debt.

The ECB is also to announce its benchmark interest rate and release its monetary policy statement. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference with ECB President Mario Draghi.

The U.S. is to release the weekly government report on initial jobless claims. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is to speak; his comments will be closely watched for any indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.

Friday, April 5

The euro zone is to release official data on retail sales and revised data on fourth quarter economic growth. Germany is to publish official data on factory orders, a leading indicator of production.

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched government report on nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate, as well as data on average hourly earnings and the trade balance.
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Forex Signal for 28 March 2013



                                                                                


Japan (Tokyo)                               United Kingdon (London)                        USA (New York)


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EUR/USD
Trading Range:   1.29500 - 1.28000
Down Trend : SELL
(1) SELL
E/P: 1.27943 
T/P: 1.27500
S/L: 1.28300
 
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GBP/USD
Trading Range: Trading Range:   1.51500 - 1.50000
Down Trend: SELL
(1) SELL
E/P: 1.51297
T/P: 1.50800
S/L: 1.51600

(2) SELL
E/P: 1.51120
T/P: 1.50800
S/L: 1.51600





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