Pages

Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing

Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing your good and bad trades. Then you will have a much better sense of what will work best in your future trades.

Trading is always full of emotions

Because trading is always full of emotions, you must have a trading strategy which includes a set of rules you stick to. This will help protect you from yourself.

software which aims at predicting future trends

While there are a lot of companies who make money by selling software which aims at predicting future trends, the reality is that if this software really worked, these companies would not be giving the secret away.

Trade wisely

There are many beginners who make trades in any direction. While there is a possibility to make profits both on the upside and downside of a trade, trading in the direction of the trend will give you the best chances for success

Invest in a good Forex trading education

The market is always changing and it may be hard to understand and keep up with these changes unless you invest in a good Forex trading education

Friday 15 July 2016

EUR/USD falls to 10-week low, as Yellen anticipates imminent rate hike


 EUR/USD fell sharply on Friday, plummeting to fresh 10-week lows, after Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said it could be appropriate to raise short-term interest rates in the near future if incoming data in the coming weeks fulfills the expectations of the U.S. central bank.
The currency pair traded between 1.1111 and 1.1201, before settling at 1.1115, down 0.71% on the session. Since hitting nine-months in early-May, EUR/USD has fallen considerably by nearly 3%. Despite the recent pullback, the euro is still up sharply against its American counterpart over the last 12 months. Last year, during the last Friday of May, EUR/USD closed just under 1.10.
EUR/USD likely gained support at 1.1055, the low from March 15 and was met with resistance at 1.1434, the high from May 12.
The dollar rapidly appreciated on Friday afternoon after Yellen ostensibly supported a rate hike for the first time this year. Echoing hawkish sentiments from her colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee over the last two weeks, Yellen said Friday afternoon that it could be appropriate for the Fed to approve an imminent rate hike if the economy and labor markets continue to show improvement. The FOMC has left its benchmark Federal Funds Rate at a targeted range between 0.25 and 0.50% in each of their three meetings in 2016, after halting a seven-year zero interest rate policy in December.
"It’s appropriate for the Fed to gradually and cautiously increase our overnight interest rate over time,” Yellen said in a Question-And-Answer session with Harvard economics professor Gregory Mankiw.
Any rate hikes by the Fed this year are viewed as bullish for the dollar, as foreign investors pile into the greenback in order to capitalize on higher yields.
At the same time, Yellen noted that the unemployment rate nears the FOMC's long-term objective, even as wage growth and the level of part-time workers, marginally attached to the labor market remains soft. Yellen also blamed ineffective fiscal policy initiatives for leading to slower productivity growth.
“That’s a serious and negative development,” Yellen said.
Prior to her appearance, the U.S. Commerce Department revised prior estimates of first quarter GDP higher by 0.3% to 0.8% on an annual basis, slightly below consensus forecasts of 0.9%. Though residential investment and exports helped drive growth, non-residential investment and government purchases continued to lag. In addition, soft personal consumption data could compel the Fed to adjust the timing of its next rate hike. In its latest estimates, the Commerce Department lowered the GDP price index for the first quarter by 0.1 to 0.6% on a year over year basis. Analysts expected to see a flat reading of 0.7%.
revised prior estimates of first quarter GDP higher by 0.3% to 0.8% on Friday morning, slightly below consensus forecasts of 0.9%. Though residential investment and exports helped drive growth, non-residential investment and government purchases continued to lag. In addition, soft personal consumption data could compel the Fed to adjust the timing of its next rate hike. In its latest estimates, the Commerce Department lowered the GDP price index for the first quarter by 0.1 to 0.6% on a year over year basis. Analysts expected to see a flat reading of 0.7%.
Also on Friday, the University of Michigan's Consumer Survey Center said consumer sentiment fell 1.1 points in May from the flash reading when it surged nearly 7 points to 95.8, the strongest monthly improvement in a decade. Despite the slight pullback, consumer sentiment is still at its highest level in more than a year.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, gained more than 0.6% to an intraday high of 95.77, before settling at 95.73 The index is still down by more than 3% since early-December.
Yields on the U.S. 10-Year rose two basis points to 1.85%, while yields on theGermany 10-Year fell one basis point to 0.14%.
Investing.com

U.S. consumer sentiment unexpectedly slumps to 3-month low in July


U.S. consumer sentiment unexpectedly fell in July to a three-month low, while expectations gauge showed that consumers were more pessimistic than forecast, according to a report published on Friday.
The preliminary publication of the data for June from the University of Michigan's Consumer Survey Center showed that consumer sentiment fell to 89.5, from May’s reading of 93.5. That was its lowest reading since last April.
Analysts had forecast no change.
The current conditions indicator fell more than expected to 108.7 in July, compared to expectations of 109.3 and the previous month’s reading of 110.8. That was its lowest level since August 2014.
Meanwhile consumer expectations moved lower to 77.1 in July, compared to the consensus estimate of 81.5 and the previous month’s reading of 82.4.
Inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 2.8% from May’s reading of 2.4%, while the five-year gauge increased to 2.60%, from the prior 2.30%.
After the report, EUR/USD was trading at 1.1087 from around 1.1081 ahead of the release of the data, GBP/USD was at 1.3297 from 1.3293 earlier, while USD/JPY was at 105.93 from 105.83 prior to the publication.
The US dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, was at 96.39, compared to 96.45 ahead of the report.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks traded higher. The Dow Jones gained 26 points, or 0.14%, while the S&P 500 traded up 2 points, or 0.10%, and the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite inched up 1 point, or 0.01%.
Elsewhere, in the commodities market, gold futures traded at $1,327.85 a troy ounce, compared to $1,326.85 ahead of the data, while crude oil traded at $46.20 a barrel from $46.11 earlier.
Investing.com