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Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing

Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing your good and bad trades. Then you will have a much better sense of what will work best in your future trades.

Trading is always full of emotions

Because trading is always full of emotions, you must have a trading strategy which includes a set of rules you stick to. This will help protect you from yourself.

software which aims at predicting future trends

While there are a lot of companies who make money by selling software which aims at predicting future trends, the reality is that if this software really worked, these companies would not be giving the secret away.

Trade wisely

There are many beginners who make trades in any direction. While there is a possibility to make profits both on the upside and downside of a trade, trading in the direction of the trend will give you the best chances for success

Invest in a good Forex trading education

The market is always changing and it may be hard to understand and keep up with these changes unless you invest in a good Forex trading education

Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Forex: EUR/USD muted after German inflation


The shared currency attempted a rebound to 1.3080 soon after German Consumer Prices rose 0.5% MoM and 1.4% YoY, in line with market expectations. The bounce however probed to be short-lived, as the pair soon retreated around 1.3065/70.

Next on tap in the euro area will be the French CPI ahead of the ECB Monthly Report and a 3-year bond auction in Italy.

At the moment the cross is down 0.02% at 1.3067 with the immediate support at 1.3006 (low Apr.9) ahead of 1.2963 (low Apr.8) and finally 1.2928 (MA10d).
On the upside, a breach of 1.3135 (high Mar.8) would expose 1.3163 (high Feb.28) and then 1.3229 (50% of Feb-Apr slide).


EUR/USD Apr 11 at 06:45 GMT

1.3069/69 (-0.01%)

H1.3079 L 1.3044 

S3S2S1R1R2R3
1.29601.29931.30261.30971.31291.3162
Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index

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Forex Daily Outlook April 11 2013


Unemployment Claims in the US and Employment Change in Australia are the major market-movers. Let see what awaits us today.
In the US, Unemployment Claims, value the unemployment insurance that was filed over the last week, 362K is due now from 385K on March.
Later in the US, James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President is due to deliver welcoming remarks in Washington DC.
Finally in the US, Import Prices, the price change of imported goods and services that were purchased domestically, reduce down to -0.4% from 1.1% on the last month is likely now.
In Canada, New Housing Price Index (NHPI) calculate the selling price of new homes, 0.1% is due to remain similar to the last report.
For more on USD/CAD, read the Canadian dollar forecast.
In Europe, ECB Monthly Bulletin, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Board evaluated regarding the latest interest rate decision and provides detailed analysis for the bank’s viewpoint.
For more on the Euro, read the Euro to dollar forecast.
In Great Britain, Paul Tucker, Bank of England (BOE) Deputy Governor, is due to speak in Dublin.
Read more about the Pound in the GBP/USD forecast.
In Australia, Unemployment Rate, shows the total unemployed work force by percentage that is actively seeking for jobs over the last month, 5.4% is forecasted now with no change from the last month.
Later in Australia, Employment Change, the employed people during the last month, -6.7K is expected now from 71.5K on March.
Finally in Australia, MI Inflation Expectations, the expected consumers price by percentage for goods and services over the next 12 months, 2.3% is likely similar to the last report.
For more on the Aussie, read the AUD/USD forecast.
In Japan, Core Machinery Orders, the total value of new manufacturer’s private-sector purchase orders (not including ships and utilities), rise up to 6.9% is likely now from -13.1% on the last time.
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Asian stocks higher despite glum Aussie jobs data; Nikkei up 0.83%

Asian stocks are trading mostly higher at this hour, a day after U.S. equities raced to another record high despite some slack employment data out of Australia. 

In Asian trading Thursday, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is higher by 0.83% despite profit-taking in USD/JPY. In Japanese economic data out today, BoJ said that Japan’s M2 Money Stock rose 3% last month following a 2.9% increase in February. Analysts expected a march increase of 2.9%. 

In another report, the Economic and Social Research Institute said that Japan’s core machinery orders rose 7.5% in March following a 13.1% decline in February. Analysts expected a March increase of 6.8%. BoJ said that Japan’s Corporate Goods Price Index fell to a seasonally adjusted -0.5% last month from -0.1% in February. Analysts expected the index to fall to -0.4% last month. 

Japanese stocks are the top performers in Asia this year. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.84% while the Shanghai Composite inched up by 0.02%. 

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.9% after official data showed Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 5.6% last month from 5.4%. Analysts expected the number to hold steady at 5.4%. The number of employed Australians fell by 36,100 following a gain of 74,000 in February. 

Australia’s unemployment rate for March is a three-year and could be a sign that businesses in the world’s 12th-largest economy are being crimped by the strong Australian dollar. The jobs number comes just a day after the Reserve Bank of Australia indicated it believes the economy can deal with the strong Aussie. 

New Zealand’s NZSE 50 fell 0.12% and South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.16% as the two bourses stood as today’s Asian laggards. South Korean stocks are among the worst performers in the region this year. 

Singapore’s Straits Times Index rose 0.35%. S&P 500 futures are off 0.08%.
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Forex Trading Signals for 11th April 2013



                                                                                


Japan (Tokyo)                               United Kingdon (London)                        USA (New York)


For more easy access,,,,,,Download our mobile application on your mobile :   Click Fxsignals 



EUR/USD
Up Trend : BUY

(1) BUY
E/P: 1.30700
T/P: 1.31000
S/L: 1.30300

(2) BUY
E/P: 1.30600
T/P: 1.31000
S/L: 1.30300

 
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GBP/USD
UP Trend: BUY

(1) BUY
E/P: 1.53250
T/P: 1.53500
S/L: 1.52900

(2) BUY
E/P: 1.53150
T/P: 1.53400
S/L: 1.52800

Forex Trading Signals for 10th April 2013



                                                                                


Japan (Tokyo)                               United Kingdon (London)                        USA (New York)


For more easy access,,,,,,Download our mobile application on your mobile :   Click Fxsignals 



EUR/USD
Up Trend : BUY

(1) BUY
E/P: 1.30672
T/P: 1.31000
S/L: 1.30300

 
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GBP/USD
UP Trend: BUY

(1) BUY
E/P: 1.53080
T/P: 1.53400
S/L: 1.52700

Forex Trading Signals for 9th April 2013




                                                                                


Japan (Tokyo)                               United Kingdon (London)                        USA (New York)


For more easy access,,,,,,Download our mobile application on your mobile :   Click Fxsignals 



EUR/USD
Up Trend : BUY

(1) BUY
E/P: 1.30088
T/P: 1.30300
S/L: 1.29700

 (2) SELL
E/P: 1.30251
T/P: 1.30000
S/L: 1.30600
 
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GBP/USD
DOWN Trend: SELL

(1) SELL
E/P: 1.52773
T/P: 1.52400
S/L: 1.53050

(2) SELL
E/P: 1.52562
T/P: 1.52300
S/L: 1.53000

Forex Commentary: GBPUSD Remains Buoyant, 9th April 2013


GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar remains buoyant above key breakout level
The GBPUSD has held above the key support / breakout level near 1.5260 so far this week. We can see in the daily chart below that it’s formed “coiling” inside bars over the last two days as price continues to see sideways compression. If the market can remain buoyant above 1.5260 this week we could see price break higher from this inside bar trading strategy and extend the recent bullish momentum further to the upside. However, a daily close back below 1.5260 would nullify this setup and turn us more neutral on this market.

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Simplify Your Trading in 3 Easy Steps


If you’re reading this you’re probably struggling to make money in the markets and maybe you’ve even recently experienced a painful losing streak. Right now, trading seems “hard” to you, you doubt if anyone out there reallymakes consistent money from trading, and maybe you even feel like you want to give up. I know that you might be feeling this way right now because above all else, I’m a trader too, and I’ve felt what you’re feeling before. How did I move past all these negative feelings and finally attain success in my trading? To put it quite “simply” (pun intended), I simplified every aspect of my trading.
Before we proceed, I know you might be thinking the whole “simplify your trading” thing sounds cliché and that you’ve “heard it before” from me, and whilst that might be true, it does not change the significance of it. Most traders are their own worst enemy in the market, and no matter how many different ways I say that, it’s important to accept it and then to change it. Here are three very simple steps to simplify and improve your trading that you can begin implementing right now…

Step 1) Work on your attitude towards trading and life in general

One of my all-time favorite authors, Napoleon Hill, said that a “Positive mental attitude is the right mental attitude in all circumstances. Success attracts more success while failure attracts more failure.”
It’s one thing to hear the word “attitude”, people talk about it every day, but what does it really mean and how does it apply to your trading? A trader’s attitude refers to both his or her mental state of mind and the way he or she conducts their trading activities. It may sound slightly boring or even repetitive to hear someone say you need a “positive mental attitude”, but your attitude is probably one of thee most important factors that determines your trading results (both profits and losses).
Do you think when a person joins the Army, Navy or other armed forces that they are instantly going to conform and have their “shit” together? No new recruit enters the armed forces with the perfect attitude that they need to thrive there, they get shaped and molded over time through constant teaching from their superiors. When you enter the trading “battleground” it is no different; you are very unlikely to have the correct attitude and trading mindset right away. Instead, you need to make a DRAMATIC attitude shift; you can’t just sit around being the “same old you”; you have to reinvent yourself if you’re going to make it in this industry.
  • What are the attitudes of great traders?
The attitude of a great trader is the result of someone with a generally happy life already. If you aren’t happy at home you won’t make money trading at home (or trading from a coffee shop, or anywhere else for that matter). It sounds cliché, but you really need to “get your own house in order” first if you want to make money in the markets. People who aren’t happy at home tend to think they will somehow “turn their lives around” by making a lot of money in the markets. However, as Napoleon Hill would agree with; your mindset and attitude determines your success or failure in any endeavor, and it’s no different with trading. Too many traders look to trading as a way to “fix” their lives or “escape” the job that they hate, but they are unaware that by looking to the market for these things they are already forging the wrong trading attitude and mindset.
Trading should not be something you view as a way to “fix” yourself or your life, but as a tool you can use to generate money AFTER you are already mostly happy and content…don’t look to the markets for your happiness, that’s something you have to find elsewhere. The reason why it’s so important to be content with your life prior to trading is because whatever you are feeling will generally be reflected back to you in your trading. If you’re angry, depressed or sad, you are not going to have enough self-control or self-respect to be able to stick to a trading plan or manage you risk properly.
Thus, great traders are people who already have their “shit” together for the most part. I’m not saying you should already be really wealthy before you start trading, I’m just saying you should be a generally happy person and not feel like you “need” to trade to fix something in your life or to be happy. The less you feel like you need to trade the less pressure you will feel and the more clear and crisp you mindset and attitude will be as you trade the market, and this gives you the best chance to make money.
  • How to develop the right trading attitude
Attitude develops out of routine…in fact, everything develops out of routine…cigarette smoking, gambling, etc…all of these things develop from a repetitive routine, and repetition turns into habit and habits are very hard to break, as you probably know.
The good thing about attitudes is that just as we can develop bad ones from routinely doing bad things, we can also develop good attitudes from good routines. For example, if you try to surround yourself with positive thinking people, you will probably start to become more positive yourself. Changing your attitude towards trading and life in general begins with changing your negative self-destructive routines. Whatever these self-destructive routines may be (you know what they are), the sooner you begin to change them the sooner you will start developing the attitude you need to become a successful trader.
Changing your attitude towards trading and life is totally within your control. Much of the reason you’re probably losing money now in the market is because you have a bad attitude as the result of self-destructive habits and routines. Feeling angry at the market and over-trading because you feel like you need to make back lost money is a really bad attitude and will result in even more losses in the end.
If you reinforce positive trading routines you’ll become addicted to them and this will naturally grow the right trading attitude. Do whatever you need to do to make this happen…put yourself around successful traders more often (whether it’s online or offline), learn from mentors like myself, become sickeningly disciplined and almost obsessive about changing your attitude and you will soon see improvement in your trading.

Step 2) Become a “tight ass” trader

frugal-moneySometimes being a “tight ass”, aka being “cheap” or “tight” with your money, is a good thing, sometimes not. In regards to trading, it’s typically a good thing because it simply means you’re being conservative with your capital and not wasting it on stupid trades that you know aren’t part of your trading strategy.
There have been scientific studies that show that women typically make better traders and investors than men because they are less likely to make testosterone-fueled trading decisions that men tend to make. Unfortunately for the ladies out there, men seem to be more attracted to trading and I feel like many women who would be good traders miss out on the opportunity because of the stigma that trading is a “man’s” profession. Ladies, this is your wake-up call…you have a NATURAL ADVANTAGE in trading the markets, get interested!
In fact, most men who lose money in the markets do so because they take too big of risks, in other words they aren’t frugal like more women tend to be. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying that women don’t take risks, because clearly you have to take on risk if you want reward and many women do indeed do this. However, women do tend to make more calculated trading decisions and tend to be more frugal with their trading capital than men, and this is a very good thing that works to their advantage.
Thus, the second step to simplifying your trading is to be a “tight-ass” in the markets. Be very careful with your money and don’t ignore the risk of losing your money every time you trade. The way to build your trading account is to do it slowly over time; you hit a big winner here or there and it pushes your equity curve higher, the key is that after these winners you have to be very careful and “tight” with your trading capital so that you don’t give all your profits back…then eventually you’ll hit another nice winner. This is how to successfully grow a small trading account over time, but it can’t be done if you’re not a tight-ass with your trading capital.

Step 3) Give complex trading methods a “wide berth”

Finally, perhaps the easiest step to simplifying your trading is to just ditch complex trading methods like Elliot Wave Theory, Gann, Indicators, the position of the stars, etc, etc. These trading methods are not necessary and they will probably hurt your trading performance much more than help it. It’s always been amusing to me that the easiest part of trading…analyzing the chart and finding a high-probability entry, is the part that traders make the most complex. It’s critical that you trade with a simple strategy like price action so that you aren’t unnecessarily confusing yourself and so that you can see clearly what’s happening on the chart. Trading in a simple de-cluttered manner like this is critical not only to accurately see what the price action on the chart is doing, but also to develop the correct trading mindset and attitude that we talked about earlier.
If you are currently using a complicated trading method and you want to simplify your trading, follow the steps discussed above
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EUR/USD April 10 – Climbing Higher as Euro Crosses 1.31


ERU/USD is continuing this week’s upward trend, as the pair has climbed above the 1.31 in Wednesday’s European session. Eurozone numbers were a mix to start off the day, as French Industrial Production edged above the estimate, while Italian Industrial Production dropped to a three month low. In the US, the markets will get a look at the FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could be a market-mover.
Here is a quick update on the technical situation, indicators, and market sentiment that moves euro/dollar.
EUR/USD Technical
  • Asian session: Euro/dollar was steady, touching a high of 1.3091, and consolidating at 1.3078. The pair has crossed above the 1.31 line in the European session.
  • Current range: 1.31 to 1.3130.
Further levels in both directions: EUR USD Daily Forecast April 10
  • Below: 1.31, 1.3050, 1.30, 1.2960, 1.2880, 1.2805, 1.2750, 1.2660, 1.2624 and 1.2587.
  • Above: 1.3130, 1.3170, 1.3290, 1.3350 and 1.34.
  • 1.3130 is a weak resistance line. It is followed by 1.3170.
  •  1.31 is providing support. 13050 is stronger.
Euro continues push as it crosses 1.31 – click on the graph to enlarge.
EUR/USD Fundamentals
  • 6:45 French Industrial Production. Exp. 0.6%. Actual 0.7%.
  • 8:00 Italian Industrial Production. Exp. -0.4%. Actual -0.8%.
  • 14:30 US Crude Oil Inventories. Exp. 1.6M.
  • 17:00 US 10-year Bond Auction.
  • 18:00 US FOMC Meeting Minutes.
  • 18:00 US Federal Budget Balance. Exp. -110.3B.
For more events and lines, see the Euro to dollar forecast
EUR/USD Sentiment
  • German numbers point up: With Eurozone numbers continuing to look weak for the most part, there is a ray of sunshine, as German releases are showing better numbers. Last week, German Factory Orders jumped 2.3%, after a decline the previous month. This easily beating the forecast of 1.2%. The good news continued this week, as German Industrial Production improved by 0.5%, edging past the forecast of 0.4%. On  Tuesday, German Trade Balance hit a six month high, posting a surplus of 17.1 billion euros. This was well above the estimate of 16.2 billion euros. If the Eurozone is to turn the corner, it will need Germany, the largest economy in the zone, to lead the way to recovery. Stronger German numbers should lead to better Eurozone readings, which have been anything but impressive so far in 2013.
  • Euro keeps on rolling: The Cyprus bailout crisis is not yet behind us, the Eurozone is suffering from a sputtering economy and high unemployment, and even ECB head  Mario Draghi toned down his usual optimism at last week’s ECB press conference. Sounds like a recipe for a weaker euro? Evidently not, as the euro continues to soar against the dollar, having gained about three cents since the beginning of April. The euro has received a boost from a long string of weak US numbers, as well as some positive data out of Germany this week. However, the severe problems in the Eurozone will not disappear anytime soon and could put a damper on the euro’s current rally.
  • Portugal Court Strikes Down Austerity Package: Portugal was back in the news as the country’s Constitutional Court struck down some austerity measures that the government announced earlier this year. The measures are part of a  bailout package that Portugal received in 2011. The court invalidated steps that included tax hikes worth 5 billion euros, which has left the country 1.4 billion euros short in expected revenue. The economy contracted 3.2% in 2012, and Portugal is behind in its deficit reduction targets. The legal wangling could exacerbate the country’s difficult economic situation and lead to a full-blown crisis, which is the last thing the Eurozone needs.
  • US numbers continue to falter:  The US continues to churn out disappointing numbers, and every key release over the past two weeks has fallen below expectations. The data comes from across the economy - manufacturing, housing, consumer confidence and employment numbers have all missed their estimates. Employment numbers were dismal, and have helped the euro post impressive gains against the US dollar. this week. Has the US recovery stalled? The US hasn’t released any key fundamentals so far this week. Unemployment Claims will be released on Thursday, and additional major releases are scheduled for Friday. If the US can turn things around and post some stronger numbers, we could see the dollar improve after losing a lot of ground to the euro since last week.
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